高级检索
当前位置: 首页 > 详情页

Prediction of tumor deposits in stage I-III gastric cancer: a clinically applicable nomogram integrating clinicopathology outcomes

文献详情

资源类型:
WOS体系:
Pubmed体系:

收录情况: ◇ SCIE

机构: [1]Hebei Univ, Dept Med Oncol, Hebei Key Lab Canc Radiotherapy & Chemotherapy, Affiliated Hosp, Baoding, Hebei, Peoples R China [2]Sun Yat sen Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Dept Emergency Surg & Orthopaed, Guangzhou, Peoples R China
出处:
ISSN:

关键词: gastric tumor tumor deposits risk factors predictive model nomogram

摘要:
Objective: This study seeks to identify clinicopathological risk factors associated with tumor deposits (TD) development in stage I-III gastric cancer patients and to construct a visualized predictive model for clinical application. Methods: A retrospective cohort of 1,284 gastric cancer patients treated at the Affiliated Hospital of Hebei University (September 2010-September 2022) was analyzed. Patients were stratified into training (n = 963) and validation (n = 321) cohorts via simple randomization at a 3:1 ratio. Lasso regression analysis was employed to screen variables, followed by multivariate logistic regression to establish an individualized nomogram. Model performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: TD-positive patients (n = 224) exhibited significantly reduced overall survival and disease-free survival compared to TD-negative counterparts (n = 1,060, p < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis confirmed tumor size (OR = 1.26; 95% CI 1.01-2.21), elevated CEA (OR = 2.04; 95% CI 1.02-3.16), elevated CA199 (OR = 1.007, 95% CI:1.003-1.011), and pN stage (OR = 3.22; 95% CI 2.12-4.34) as independent predictors of TD occurrence (all p < 0.05). The nomogram demonstrated robust discriminative capacity, with AUC values of 0.803 (95% CI 0.751-0.894) and 0.864 (95% CI 0.725-0.917) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Calibration plots revealed excellent agreement between predicted and observed probabilities. DCA further validated the model's clinical utility, showing superior net benefits across threshold probabilities of 1-99%. Conclusion: This TD-specific nomogram, incorporating tumor size, serum biomarkers (CEA/CA199), and pathological staging (pN), provides a clinically applicable tool for preoperative risk stratification and personalized therapeutic decision-making in stage I-III gastric cancer.

基金:
语种:
WOS:
PubmedID:
中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2026]版:
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 医学:内科
JCR分区:
出版当年[2025]版:
最新[2024]版:
Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL

影响因子: 最新[2024版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2025版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2024版]

第一作者:
第一作者机构: [1]Hebei Univ, Dept Med Oncol, Hebei Key Lab Canc Radiotherapy & Chemotherapy, Affiliated Hosp, Baoding, Hebei, Peoples R China
共同第一作者:
通讯作者:
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
APA:
MLA:

资源点击量:19602 今日访问量:0 总访问量:1147 更新日期:2025-08-01 建议使用谷歌、火狐浏览器 常见问题

版权所有©2020 河北大学附属医院 技术支持:重庆聚合科技有限公司 地址:保定市莲池区裕华东路212号