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Predictive value of the BDH2-MN2 nomogram model for prognosis at 3 months after receiving intravenous thrombolysis in patients with acute ischemic stroke

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机构: [1]Department of Neurology, Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China. [2]Department of Emergency Medicine, Baoding No. 1 Central Hospital, Baoding, China. [3]Department of Neurology, Affiliated Hospital of Hebei University, Baoding, China. [4]Laboratory Medicine, Chinese People's Liberation Army 82 Army Group Hospital, Baoding, China. [5]Department of Neurology, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, China.
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The present study focused on developing a nomogram model to predict the 3-month survival of patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) receiving intravenous thrombolysis with tissue plasminogen activator (tPA).A total of 709 patients were enrolled in the present study, including 496 patients in the training set and 213 patients in the validation set. All data were statistically analyzed using R software. We applied LASSO regression analysis to construct nomograms by screening statistically significant predictors from all variables.The model discrimination was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC).LASSO regression analysis was conducted for all variables, which revealed BNP, DNT, HCY, HDL, MHR, NHR and post-thrombolysis NIHSS as independent predictors of adverse outcomes at 3 months after intravenous thrombolysis. Accordingly, these seven factors were incorporated in the nominated BDH2-MN2 nomogram. The resulting AUC-ROC values determined for the training and validation sets were 0.937 (95% CI: 0.822-0.954) and 0.898 (95% CI: 0.748-0.921), respectively.A robust BDH2-MN2 (BNP, DNT, HCY, HDL, MHR, NHR and post-thrombolysis NIHSS) nomogram model was successfully developed and validated. The developed nomogram enables prediction of adverse outcomes of individual AIS patients receiving intravenous thrombolysis with alteplase for 3 months.Copyright: © 2024 Termedia & Banach.

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大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 医学:内科
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Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL

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第一作者机构: [1]Department of Neurology, Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China. [2]Department of Emergency Medicine, Baoding No. 1 Central Hospital, Baoding, China.
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通讯机构: [1]Department of Neurology, Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China. [5]Department of Neurology, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, China.
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